Kyiv Post

This Will Be a First-Order Tragedy, Says Paul Goble on Possible NATO Split as World Awaits Trump's Address

In an exclusive interview with the Kyiv Post, American analyst Paul Goble expressed concerns that U.S. President Donald Trump is likely to announce victory in Iran, urging allies to take more active roles in the process.

In his interview for the Kyiv Post, American analyst Paul Goble shared his perspective that U.S. President Donald Trump will probably declare victory in Iran and inform U.S. allies, saying, 'We have done our job,' while calling for others to become more actively involved in the ongoing situation.

The world is eagerly awaiting Trump's address, which is set to take place during prime time, with all eyes focused on what the White House describes as a 'significant update' regarding Iran. This address will occur at a critical juncture in the confrontation between Washington and Tehran, as military pressure escalates and diplomatic signals remain ambiguous. Although officials have not provided much specificity ahead of the speech, Paul Goble shared his expectations in comments to the Kyiv Post.

Goble noted that he anticipates Trump will frame his address as an announcement of success. 'I expect him to declare victory, say: “We have done our job,” and that others who need to address other issues should start taking action,' Goble stated.

The analyst also added that Trump might attempt to present the results as a direct benefit for Americans. 'I think he will hint that now, having achieved this victory for Americans in Iran, gas prices will come down, and the world will continue to exist,' he remarked.

Goble did not rule out the possibility that Trump might use this moment to expand his comments beyond Iran. 'I wouldn’t be surprised if he added a few more topics, perhaps about the future of NATO and American relations with allies, or even announced the initiation of some new American actions against Greenland or Cuba,' he emphasized.

These comments from Goble come against the backdrop of increasing tension between the United States and NATO. Trump has repeatedly referred to NATO as a 'paper tiger' and hinted at a possible U.S. exit from the alliance following disagreements with allies over Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. On the day of the address, the administration also intensified its criticism of NATO, raising concerns that Trump may once again bring up longstanding grievances against U.S. allies.