Opposition Party 'Tisa' Could Secure Two-Thirds of Seats in Hungarian Parliament - Reuters

According to information published by Reuters, the opposition party 'Tisa' may secure between 138 and 142 seats in Hungary's 199-member parliament. This possibility arises from a forecast released on Wednesday by Median, a research agency specializing in sociological studies.

The predictions are based on an analysis of the last five public opinion polls conducted by Median at the end of February and in March of this year. According to this data, the ruling party 'Fidesz', led by Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, is projected to secure between 49 and 55 seats in parliament. Meanwhile, the far-right party 'Our Homeland' (Mi Hazank) is expected to gain only five or six seats.

It is important to note that to achieve a qualified majority necessary for constitutional amendments and key legislation, parties in the Hungarian parliament need 133 seats. Since coming to power in 2010, 'Fidesz' has held a two-thirds majority for most of its term, enabling it to adopt a new constitution and enact significant laws, including electoral legislation.

The Median polling service, which has a track record of accurate forecasting in Hungary, reported that the five polls it conducted had a total sample size of 5,000 individuals and were executed by three separate call centers. Median previously predicted a convincing victory for Viktor Orbán in the last elections four years ago, although it somewhat overestimated the support for opposition forces.

Despite most polls indicating a lead for 'Tisa', 'Fidesz' refers to other studies showing that Orbán's party has a chance of winning. Opponents of 'Fidesz' argue that these polls were conducted primarily by institutions with financial or personal ties to the ruling party, which raises questions about their objectivity.

The leader of the Hungarian opposition party 'Tisa', Péter Madjar, recently stated that his future government would adopt a 'pragmatic' approach towards the Russian Federation. This statement has sparked significant resonance in political circles, as it raises questions about the course the new government might take if victorious in the elections.

Additionally, it is worth noting that U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance expressed support for Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán during his visit to Hungary just days before the crucial elections in the country. He also sharply criticized Brussels for allegedly interfering in the electoral campaign, which has led to further discussions about external influence on political processes in Hungary.

Thus, the upcoming elections in Hungary promise to be extremely tense, given the forecasts and political statements suggesting possible significant changes in the distribution of power in parliament. The situation remains dynamic, and the election results could significantly impact the country's future development.