Expert on Trump's Latest Ultimatum: If Threats Are Not Backed by Action, They Stop Working

In a comment to Ukrinform, political analyst Oleg Lisnyy shared his views on the recent ultimatum issued by U.S. President Donald Trump, suggesting that the newly established deadline is unlikely to have a decisive influence on Iran's stance. Lisnyy emphasized that the two sides are operating under entirely different conditions and possess varying motivations, which significantly affects their responses to ultimatums.

Lisnyy pointed out that Iran is fighting for its survival, and in this context, there are no clear deadlines—this process could last for years or even decades as long as the country has the resources and the ability to resist. 'Iran is fighting for survival. And survival, in fact, has no deadlines; it can last for years or even decades—as long as there are resources and as long as society or the regime is able to resist,' he explained.

In contrast, Trump’s situation is markedly different and is significantly constrained by political frameworks. The political analyst highlighted that the policies of the Trump administration depend on control over the legislative power in the United States. 'Trump has months until the congressional elections, while Iran has a conditional eternity. And this is the key difference. We see a contrast: on one side is a businessman, and on the other is a system where religious motivation and willingness to sacrifice play a significant role,' Lisnyy noted.

The expert also pointed out that Trump's frequent statements about deadlines may devalue the very tool of pressure. 'If threats are not backed by actions, they stop working. When there are many deadlines and they are not met, it is no longer taken seriously,' the political analyst remarked, underscoring the importance of real actions in response to ultimatums.

Despite this, Lisnyy does not rule out that this time Trump may follow through on his threats. 'Trump faces a very serious task from which there is no good exit. He stands to lose a lot, so he may take radical steps to demonstrate strength. But whether this will be effective is a big question,' the political analyst concluded.

As reported by Ukrinform, on February 28, the United States and Israel carried out joint strikes on regime targets in Iran. In response, Iran attacked American bases in Kuwait, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, and Jordan. Iran has also effectively blocked the Strait of Hormuz, through which one-fifth of global oil supplies pass.

On March 23, the U.S. president assured that the Strait of Hormuz would soon be unblocked and would be under joint control of America and Iran. On April 4, Trump threatened Iran with 'hell' if it did not unblock the Strait of Hormuz within two days. The Iranian authorities sharply rejected Trump's ultimatum.

On April 5, Trump once again threatened Iran over the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz and set a new 'deadline' for its unblocking. He promised to bomb civilian power plants and bridges in Iran if the country did not comply with the deadline set for Tuesday regarding the opening of the Strait of Hormuz.

On April 7, Trump emphasized that 'one of the most important moments' in world history would occur that night and stated that 'a whole civilization would perish.' These events indicate an escalation of the conflict between the United States and Iran, which could have serious consequences for the region and the world.

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