Russia Out of the Game: Political Losses and New Challenges in the Middle East
Russia is struggling to define its role in the geopolitical redistribution of power, having effectively lost most of its traditional levers of influence, according to a political scientist and professor at the Institute of Peace Research in Oslo, who analyzes the current situation in the Middle East and Russia's role within it.
The Middle East has undergone significant changes due to the prolonged use of air power by the United States and Israel against Iran. These actions have disrupted numerous supply chains and established political ties, leading to rapid and unpredictable shifts in the region. As a consequence, the unfolding conflict is inevitably leading to a profound reconfiguration of the security system in the Middle East.
Traditionally, Russia has sought to play a vital role in regional politics; however, it currently finds itself unable to quickly benefit from fluctuations in energy markets. Despite this, Russia is eager to mark its participation in the forthcoming geopolitical redistribution of power, reminiscent of a kind of 'Great Game' in the Persian Gulf. However, according to the expert, Russia is effectively excluded from this game, which indicates its diminished influence on the international stage.
It is important to note that Russia's losses in the region have resulted not only from its own actions but also from changing strategic interests of other states. The United States and Israel, in particular, continue to pursue an active policy of countering Iran, which creates new challenges for Moscow. As traditional allies of Russia in the region come under pressure, its ability to influence the situation significantly decreases.
Thus, Russia finds itself in a complex situation where it must rethink its strategies and approaches to the region. It is attempting to adapt to new conditions, but, according to the expert, this may prove insufficient to restore its former influence in the Middle East.
Conclusions drawn from the analysis of the situation suggest that, despite all its efforts, Russia may remain outside the key geopolitical processes occurring in the region. This underscores the importance of new approaches and strategies that must be developed to regain its positions on the international stage.