Donald Trump Again at the Center of Diplomatic Efforts
Former Ukrainian representative in the Trilateral Contact Group in Minsk and ex-ambassador to Belarus, Roman Bezsmertny, highlights how Donald Trump has once again found himself at the heart of international diplomatic efforts, turning an inevitable conflict into an opportunity for a significant deal.
In a surprising turn of events, just hours before a planned massive strike on Iranian strategic sites, Trump made the decision to cancel the attack, a move he himself commented on via social media platform Truth Social. This unexpected decision led to a 14-day silence, raising the question: where does Israel fit into this situation?
While Trump expresses gratitude to Pakistan for its role in peacekeeping efforts, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu adopts a cautious stance, supporting a pause in relations with Iran while simultaneously indicating serious disagreements regarding Lebanon. This appears to be a strategic play, with Israel attempting to give Trump a chance to achieve a major deal, while retaining the right to take military action should Iran prolong negotiations.
In this context, Islamabad has emerged as a key player, with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Marshal Asim Munir stepping into the role of peacemakers, proposing a ten-point plan. This plan, which Trump has referred to as a 'working basis' for future peace, envisions a complete reset of relations between the countries involved. Key points include an immediate ceasefire, the establishment of demilitarized zones around strategic sites, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to ensure free navigation, which is expected to positively impact global oil prices, as well as a phased lifting of economic sanctions in exchange for stringent nuclear guarantees.
Furthermore, the plan encompasses the return of Iran to the international banking system, allowing IAEA inspectors access to closed facilities under new protocols, a prisoner exchange based on the formula 'all for all', a regional non-aggression declaration, the creation of an infrastructure recovery fund, and a direct communication line between the Pentagon and Tehran.
All these points of the plan are set to undergo a stress test this Friday, April 10, but doubts remain regarding their implementation. Meanwhile, Islamabad is preparing for historic negotiations that could alter the geopolitical landscape of the world. The main question remains: will Donald Trump personally appear at the summit to cement his triumph, or will he leave the field to professional diplomats? Many experts believe that Trump is unlikely to attend, and this could be more of a media fantasy than reality.
Negotiations are likely to see the involvement of 'super specialists' such as Vance, Witkoff, and Kushner. The primary concern is that these 'diplomats' do not stoke the flames of war, as their experience in this area raises apprehensions.
In conclusion, it can be noted that Trump will once again step onto the stage to present himself as a savior, emphasizing the positive role of Pakistanis in the peace talks with Iran. In a situation where oil interests, gold, and dollars take center stage, the world continues to live from one ultimatum to another, from one apocalypse to the next. In this grand political game, finding a way to avoid chaos and maintain calm is crucial.
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